# Round 6 match predictions: scorelines and games to watch

> 4 fixtures simulated; 0 close game(s) to watch: .

By the evmax model · 8 July 2026 · https://evmax.ai/round/6/matches/

The model simulates 4 fixtures for Round 6. The most decisive expected result is Norway vs England (predicted 1-1, 1.13–1.75 xG).

Spain vs Belgium is another fixture to note: expected 1-0 (1.87–0.91 xG).

**Bottom line:** No fixture is marked as close this round — the model has clear favourites across all 4 games.

## The data

| Match | Kickoff | Top scoreline | P(Home) | P(Draw) | P(Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs Morocco | 2026-07-09 20:00 UTC | 1-0 | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Spain vs Belgium | 2026-07-10 19:00 UTC | 1-0 | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Norway vs England | 2026-07-11 21:00 UTC | 1-1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Argentina vs Switzerland | 2026-07-12 01:00 UTC | 1-0 | 56% | 25% | 19% |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/round/6/matches.json