# Fixture guide: clean sheets and blowouts for Round 8

> Spain rate highest for a clean sheet at 36% vs Argentina.

By the evmax model · 19 July 2026 · https://evmax.ai/round/8/fixtures/

Spain carry the best clean-sheet odds this round at 36% vs Argentina, conceding just 1.01 expected goals. Argentina are next at 27% vs Spain.

**Bottom line:** Back Spain for a clean sheet (36% vs Argentina), target attackers in the blowouts, and fade forwards in the low-goal fixtures.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | CS % | xGA | xGF | Best DEF | Best GK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | vs Argentina | 36% | 1.01 | 1.32 | Aymeric Laporte (3.3) | Unai Simon (3.9) |
| 2 | Argentina | vs Spain | 27% | 1.32 | 1.01 | Lisandro Martinez (2.2) | Emiliano Martinez (3.4) |
| 3 | England | vs France | 26% | 1.35 | 1.36 | Ezri Konsa (2.6) | Jordan Pickford (3.3) |
| 4 | France | vs England | 26% | 1.36 | 1.35 | Dayot Upamecano (2.7) | Mike Maignan (3.3) |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/round/8/fixtures.json