Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetARS

White

DEF · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.21xPts0.59pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
2153.23.52.83.1
GW3 2 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 3.2 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 2.8 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW34678910
NFOEVELIVHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank90thcaptain EV6.42owned4.4%season26 ptspts/£m so far4.81
attack 1.6clean sheet 1.4defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 3.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 22%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (22% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.21
Captain EV6.42
Top 15% of sims, average8.49
Projected pts/£m0.594
Expected bonus (per match)0.16
DefCon points (per match)0.08
P(DefCon threshold)0.042
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.36
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.77
Price£5.4m
Ownership4.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank90 / 81
Season points (minutes)26 (377′)
Realized pts/£m4.81
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/10.json.