Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCHE

Jordan Henderson

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
1.49xPts0.30pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
2181.51.41.41.41.5
GW5 2 points played · GW6 18 points played · GW7 1.5 projected · GW8 1.4 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.4 projected · GW11 1.5 projected
GW567891011
EVETOTMUNSUNLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank227thcaptain EV2.97owned0.4%season20 pts
attack 1.2clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 45%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (45% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.49
Captain EV2.97
Top 15% of sims, average5.07
Projected pts/£m0.304
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.09
P(DefCon threshold)0.047
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.14
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.49
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank227 / 264
Season points (minutes)20 (180′)
Realized pts/£m4.08
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/101.json.