Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidBRE
Thiago
5.17xPts this gameweek
ceiling 13.09captain EV 10.34owned 17.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +18
LEE (A)GW2SUN (H)GW3BOU (A)GW4CHE (H)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 5.17 |
| Captain EV | 10.34 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 13.09 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.646 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.98 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.02 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.010 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start probability | 0.97 |
| Price | £8.0m |
| Ownership | 17.1% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 5 / 23 |
| Season points (minutes) | 0 (3282′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.00 |
| Verdict | S · Mid · buy |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
Currently in our model squad.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/106.json.