Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBHA
Verbruggen
3.76xPts0.82pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 9
8693.83.12.83.3
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank52ndcaptain EV7.52owned21.9%season32 ptspts/£m so far6.96
attack 1.9clean sheet 1.4bonus 0.5= 3.8 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 27%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.76 |
| Captain EV | 7.52 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 8.98 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.817 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.47 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 1.40 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 1.00 |
| Price | £4.6m |
| Ownership | 21.9% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 52 / 14 |
| Season points (minutes) | 32 (540′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 6.96 |
| Model tier | A · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/109.json.