Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · PremiumARS

Saka

MID · £9.5m · Gameweek 2
4.59xPts this gameweek
GW1 6.13 · GW2 3.42 · GW3 3.54 · GW4 3.95 · GW5 3.94 · GW6 4.90GW1GW6
ceiling 15.42captain EV 9.17owned 10.3%
season 9 ptsrealized 0.95 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +27
AVL (A)GW2CHE (H)GW3SUN (A)GW4BHA (A)GW5
buy · tier S · Premium
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)4.59
Captain EV9.17
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)15.42
Projected pts/£m0.483
Expected bonus (per match)1.16
DefCon points (per match)0.08
P(DefCon threshold)0.041
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.66
Price£9.5m
Ownership10.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank10 / 37
Season points (minutes)9 (2218′)
Realized pts/£m0.95
VerdictS · Premium · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/12.json.