Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidBHA

Groß

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 7
5.69xPts0.95pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 13
171465.74.74.14.8
GW4 17 points played · GW5 14 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 5.7 projected · GW8 4.7 projected · GW9 4.1 projected · GW10 4.8 projected
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank8thcaptain EV11.38owned39.5%season53 ptspts/£m so far8.83
attack 4.5clean sheet 0.3defence 0.1bonus 0.8= 5.7 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 27%ceiling 13
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (27% of simulations), ceiling 13 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)5.69
Captain EV11.38
Top 15% of sims, average14.49
Projected pts/£m0.948
Expected bonus (per match)0.79
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.031
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.35
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£6.0m
Ownership39.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank8 / 6
Season points (minutes)53 (540′)
Realized pts/£m8.83
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/124.json.