Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetBHA

Georginio

FWD · £5.3m · Gameweek 7
0.59xPts0.11pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
5140.60.50.50.5
GW1 5 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 0.6 projected · GW8 0.5 projected · GW9 0.5 projected · GW10 0.5 projected
GW15678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank317thcaptain EV1.17owned0.5%season10 ptspts/£m so far1.89
attack 0.4bonus 0.2= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 74%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (74% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.59
Captain EV1.17
Top 15% of sims, average3.22
Projected pts/£m0.111
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.09
Price£5.3m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank317 / 247
Season points (minutes)10 (106′)
Realized pts/£m1.89
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/125.json.