Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · BudgetBHA

Diego Gómez Amarilla

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
4.39xPts0.88pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 10
3854.43.83.53.8
GW4 3 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 4.4 projected · GW8 3.8 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.8 projected
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank26thcaptain EV8.78owned3.6%season29 ptspts/£m so far5.80
attack 3.4clean sheet 0.4defence 0.2bonus 0.4= 4.4 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 31%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (31% of simulations), ceiling 10 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.39
Captain EV8.78
Top 15% of sims, average11.69
Projected pts/£m0.878
Expected bonus (per match)0.39
DefCon points (per match)0.24
P(DefCon threshold)0.118
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.37
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.0m
Ownership3.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank26 / 94
Season points (minutes)29 (520′)
Realized pts/£m5.80
Model tierS · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/127.json.