Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidCHE
Welbeck
3.35xPts this gameweek
ceiling 11.12captain EV 6.70owned 1.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +142
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.35 |
| Captain EV | 6.70 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 11.12 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.558 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.99 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.001 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start probability | 0.68 |
| Price | £6.0m |
| Ownership | 1.1% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 49 / 191 |
| Season points (minutes) | 0 (2249′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.00 |
| Verdict | A · Mid · buy |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/136.json.