Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidBHA

Kostoulas

FWD · £5.7m · Gameweek 7
4.51xPts0.79pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 11
101014.53.83.43.9
GW4 10 points played · GW5 10 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 4.5 projected · GW8 3.8 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.9 projected
GW45678910
CRYLIVMCIBRE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank24thcaptain EV9.03owned8.7%season29 ptspts/£m so far5.09
attack 3.5defence 0.0bonus 0.9= 4.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 38%ceiling 11
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (38% of simulations), ceiling 11 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.51
Captain EV9.03
Top 15% of sims, average12.23
Projected pts/£m0.791
Expected bonus (per match)0.93
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.018
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.90
Price£5.7m
Ownership8.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank24 / 42
Season points (minutes)29 (412′)
Realized pts/£m5.09
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/138.json.