Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetCHE

Gusto

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
2.31xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.53 · GW2 2.77 · GW3 2.34 · GW4 2.86 · GW5 2.51 · GW6 2.66GW1GW6
ceiling 7.77captain EV 4.63owned 1.2%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +56
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.31
Captain EV4.63
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.77
Projected pts/£m0.463
Expected bonus (per match)0.17
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.022
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.78
Start probability0.68
Price£5.0m
Ownership1.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank121 / 177
Season points (minutes)1 (2255′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/144.json.