Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCHE

Wesley Fofana

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
2.47xPts0.49pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
3142.52.52.42.5
GW3 3 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW7 2.5 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.4 projected · GW10 2.5 projected
GW34578910
EVETOTMUNSUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank144thcaptain EV4.94owned0.2%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.60
attack 1.0clean sheet 0.7defence 0.6bonus 0.1= 2.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 36%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (36% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.47
Captain EV4.94
Top 15% of sims, average8.16
Projected pts/£m0.494
Expected bonus (per match)0.13
DefCon points (per match)0.61
P(DefCon threshold)0.304
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.71
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.64
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank144 / 371
Season points (minutes)8 (312′)
Realized pts/£m1.60
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/145.json.