Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetCHE

Tosin

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.81xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.83 · GW2 0.94 · GW3 0.87 · GW4 0.94 · GW5 0.85 · GW6 0.92GW1GW6
ceiling 4.93captain EV 1.61owned 0.2%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +81
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.81
Captain EV1.61
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)4.93
Projected pts/£m0.179
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.21
P(DefCon threshold)0.106
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.24
Start probability0.21
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank297 / 378
Season points (minutes)0 (788′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/147.json.