Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetCHE

Hato

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.02xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.07 · GW2 1.18 · GW3 1.09 · GW4 1.21 · GW5 1.10 · GW6 1.18GW1GW6
ceiling 5.40captain EV 2.04owned 0.5%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +8
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.02
Captain EV2.04
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.40
Projected pts/£m0.226
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.14
P(DefCon threshold)0.068
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.36
Start probability0.32
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank247 / 255
Season points (minutes)1 (1139′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/148.json.