Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetCHE

M.Sarr

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.11xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.12 · GW2 0.14 · GW3 0.11 · GW4 0.12 · GW5 0.11 · GW6 0.12GW1GW6
ceiling 0.71captain EV 0.21owned 0.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -5
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.11
Captain EV0.21
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)0.71
Projected pts/£m0.024
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.005
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.03
Start probability0.03
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank454 / 449
Season points (minutes)0 (100′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/150.json.