Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · PremiumCHE

Cole Palmer

MID · £9.5m · Gameweek 2
3.43xPts this gameweek
GW1 4.02 · GW2 4.13 · GW3 2.57 · GW4 4.29 · GW5 3.38 · GW6 3.55GW1GW6
ceiling 12.62captain EV 6.87owned 12.3%
season 13 ptsrealized 1.37 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -10
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Premium
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.43
Captain EV6.87
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)12.62
Projected pts/£m0.362
Expected bonus (per match)0.83
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.011
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.63
Price£9.5m
Ownership12.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank42 / 32
Season points (minutes)13 (1954′)
Realized pts/£m1.37
VerdictA · Premium · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/154.json.