Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidCHE

Neto

MID · £6.5m · Gameweek 7
3.44xPts0.53pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
2253.43.53.43.4
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 5 points played · GW7 3.4 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
EVETOTMUNSUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank75thcaptain EV6.89owned1.4%season19 ptspts/£m so far2.92
attack 2.8clean sheet 0.3defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 3.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 32%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (32% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.44
Captain EV6.89
Top 15% of sims, average9.49
Projected pts/£m0.529
Expected bonus (per match)0.25
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.056
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.26
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.91
Price£6.5m
Ownership1.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank75 / 152
Season points (minutes)19 (414′)
Realized pts/£m2.92
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/156.json.