Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetCHE

Lavia

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.29xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.32 · GW2 0.31 · GW3 0.25 · GW4 0.33 · GW5 0.27 · GW6 0.30GW1GW6
ceiling 1.93captain EV 0.58owned 0.1%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +13
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.29
Captain EV0.58
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)1.93
Projected pts/£m0.058
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.013
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.11
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank428 / 441
Season points (minutes)1 (374′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/161.json.