Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidCHE

João Pedro

FWD · £7.5m · Gameweek 2
3.43xPts this gameweek
GW1 4.04 · GW2 4.14 · GW3 2.77 · GW4 4.52 · GW5 3.47 · GW6 3.65GW1GW6
ceiling 10.48captain EV 6.86owned 65.6%
season 11 ptsrealized 1.47 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -41
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.43
Captain EV6.86
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)10.48
Projected pts/£m0.457
Expected bonus (per match)0.86
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.82
Price£7.5m
Ownership65.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank43 / 2
Season points (minutes)11 (2658′)
Realized pts/£m1.47
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

Currently in the consensus XI.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/165.json.