Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidAVL

N.Jackson

FWD · £6.6m · Gameweek 7
3.51xPts0.53pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
0693.53.23.53.4
GW4 0 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 9 points played · GW7 3.5 projected · GW8 3.2 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank69thcaptain EV7.02owned2.6%season19 ptspts/£m so far2.88
attack 2.8bonus 0.7= 3.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 43%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (43% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.51
Captain EV7.02
Top 15% of sims, average10.44
Projected pts/£m0.532
Expected bonus (per match)0.66
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.90
Price£6.6m
Ownership2.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank69 / 109
Season points (minutes)19 (376′)
Realized pts/£m2.88
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/166.json.