Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidARS

Merino

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
1.24xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.59 · GW2 1.03 · GW3 1.03 · GW4 1.12 · GW5 1.14 · GW6 1.29GW1GW6
ceiling 6.93captain EV 2.49owned 0.6%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.17 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +30
AVL (A)GW2CHE (H)GW3SUN (A)GW4BHA (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.24
Captain EV2.49
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.93
Projected pts/£m0.207
Expected bonus (per match)0.54
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.054
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.26
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank212 / 242
Season points (minutes)1 (1024′)
Realized pts/£m0.17
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/17.json.