Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Thomas

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2
1.01xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.30 · GW2 0.65 · GW3 0.42 · GW4 0.64 · GW5 0.51 · GW6 0.62GW1GW6
ceiling 6.17captain EV 2.02owned 8.0%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.75 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -203
HUL (H)GW2MCI (A)GW3BHA (H)GW4NFO (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.01
Captain EV2.02
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.17
Projected pts/£m0.253
Expected bonus (per match)0.44
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.025
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.28
Start probability0.25
Price£4.0m
Ownership8.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank256 / 53
Season points (minutes)3 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.75
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/173.json.