Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Mason-Clark

MID · £5.3m · Gameweek 7
1.70xPts0.32pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
1131.71.91.91.9
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 1.7 projected · GW8 1.9 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.9 projected
GW45678910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank207thcaptain EV3.40owned0.1%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.51
attack 1.6clean sheet 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 43%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (43% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.70
Captain EV3.40
Top 15% of sims, average5.36
Projected pts/£m0.321
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.07
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.90
Price£5.3m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank207 / 447
Season points (minutes)8 (291′)
Realized pts/£m1.51
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/186.json.