Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetCOV

Shepherd

MID · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.12xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.59 · GW2 1.12 · GW3 0.66 · GW4 1.05 · GW5 0.88 · GW6 1.04GW1GW6
ceiling 6.41captain EV 2.23owned 0.3%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +80
HUL (H)GW2MCI (A)GW3BHA (H)GW4NFO (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.12
Captain EV2.23
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.41
Projected pts/£m0.248
Expected bonus (per match)0.62
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank233 / 313
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/189.json.