Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetCOV
Tchaouna
0.77xPts0.14pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
1110.80.80.80.8
GW23578910
TOTFULSUNEVE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank285thcaptain EV1.54owned0.1%season5 ptspts/£m so far0.94
attack 0.6clean sheet 0.0defence 0.0bonus 0.1= 0.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 65%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 0.77 |
| Captain EV | 1.54 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 3.68 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.145 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.09 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.03 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.017 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.02 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.20 |
| Price | £5.3m |
| Ownership | 0.1% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 285 / 485 |
| Season points (minutes) | 5 (211′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.94 |
| Model tier | B · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/190.json.