Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetCRY

Dean Henderson

GK · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
2.55xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.16 · GW2 3.23 · GW3 3.15 · GW4 3.42 · GW5 3.14 · GW6 3.33GW1GW6
ceiling 6.73captain EV 5.10owned 1.9%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.40 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +26
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.55
Captain EV5.10
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.73
Projected pts/£m0.510
Expected bonus (per match)0.13
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.54
Start probability0.97
Price£5.0m
Ownership1.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank102 / 128
Season points (minutes)2 (3330′)
Realized pts/£m0.40
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/198.json.