Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetARS

Arrizabalaga

GK · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.10xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.12 · GW2 0.09 · GW3 0.11 · GW4 0.10 · GW5 0.10 · GW6 0.10GW1GW6
ceiling 0.66captain EV 0.20owned 0.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -65
AVL (A)GW2CHE (H)GW3SUN (A)GW4BHA (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.10
Captain EV0.20
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)0.66
Projected pts/£m0.020
Expected bonus (per match)0.02
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start probability0.03
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank456 / 391
Season points (minutes)0 (90′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/2.json.