Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidCHE

Lacroix

DEF · £5.9m · Gameweek 7
3.16xPts0.54pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
1323.23.13.03.1
GW4 1 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.2 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 3.0 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
EVETOTMUNSUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank93rdcaptain EV6.31owned6.5%season15 ptspts/£m so far2.54
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.9defence 0.7bonus 0.2= 3.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 22%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (22% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.16
Captain EV6.31
Top 15% of sims, average8.81
Projected pts/£m0.536
Expected bonus (per match)0.16
DefCon points (per match)0.67
P(DefCon threshold)0.335
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.93
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.83
Price£5.9m
Ownership6.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank93 / 59
Season points (minutes)15 (454′)
Realized pts/£m2.54
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/200.json.