Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetCRY

Richards

DEF · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
3.07xPts0.63pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
2843.13.93.74.0
GW4 2 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 3.1 projected · GW8 3.9 projected · GW9 3.7 projected · GW10 4.0 projected
GW45678910
BHANEWTOTLIV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank100thcaptain EV6.15owned0.6%season18 ptspts/£m so far3.67
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.5defence 0.8bonus 0.2= 3.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 23%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (23% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.07
Captain EV6.15
Top 15% of sims, average8.95
Projected pts/£m0.627
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.85
P(DefCon threshold)0.426
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.54
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank100 / 232
Season points (minutes)18 (540′)
Realized pts/£m3.67
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/202.json.