Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetCRY

Richards

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
2.35xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.94 · GW2 3.07 · GW3 2.99 · GW4 3.28 · GW5 2.99 · GW6 3.19GW1GW6
ceiling 7.33captain EV 4.70owned 0.7%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.60 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +118
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.35
Captain EV4.70
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.33
Projected pts/£m0.470
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.71
P(DefCon threshold)0.356
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.46
Start probability0.82
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank116 / 234
Season points (minutes)3 (2825′)
Realized pts/£m0.60
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/202.json.