Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetCRY

Mitchell

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
2.08xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.75 · GW2 2.86 · GW3 2.77 · GW4 3.14 · GW5 2.76 · GW6 3.00GW1GW6
ceiling 6.69captain EV 4.16owned 5.9%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -80
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.08
Captain EV4.16
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.69
Projected pts/£m0.462
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.24
P(DefCon threshold)0.118
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.53
Start probability0.95
Price£4.5m
Ownership5.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank143 / 63
Season points (minutes)1 (3253′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/204.json.