Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetCRY

Chadi Riad

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2

Knee injury - 50% chance of playing (status: d)

0.17xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.44 · GW2 0.48 · GW3 0.44 · GW4 0.50 · GW5 0.46 · GW6 0.48GW1GW6
ceiling 1.16captain EV 0.34owned 0.1%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -41
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.17
Captain EV0.34
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)1.16
Projected pts/£m0.038
Expected bonus (per match)0.02
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.015
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start probability0.08
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank444 / 403
Season points (minutes)1 (550′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/206.json.