Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetCRY

Lerma

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
1.44xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.49 · GW2 1.47 · GW3 1.57 · GW4 1.73 · GW5 1.55 · GW6 1.54GW1GW6
ceiling 5.07captain EV 2.89owned 0.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +250
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.44
Captain EV2.89
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.07
Projected pts/£m0.289
Expected bonus (per match)0.06
DefCon points (per match)0.34
P(DefCon threshold)0.170
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.47
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank192 / 442
Season points (minutes)0 (1722′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/213.json.