Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidCRY
Mateta
4.00xPts this gameweek
ceiling 11.43captain EV 7.99owned 5.5%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.31 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +41
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 4.00 |
| Captain EV | 7.99 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 11.43 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.615 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.81 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.01 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.004 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start probability | 0.66 |
| Price | £6.5m |
| Ownership | 5.5% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 24 / 65 |
| Season points (minutes) | 2 (2210′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.31 |
| Verdict | A · Mid · buy |
Research notes on file: Mateta. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/223.json.