Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · MidCRY

Nketiah

FWD · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
0.18xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.20 · GW2 0.19 · GW3 0.22 · GW4 0.27 · GW5 0.22 · GW6 0.22GW1GW6
ceiling 1.20captain EV 0.36owned 0.5%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.18 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -185
MCI (H)GW2FUL (A)GW3IPS (H)GW4LEE (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.18
Captain EV0.36
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)1.20
Projected pts/£m0.033
Expected bonus (per match)0.43
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.05
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank443 / 258
Season points (minutes)1 (414′)
Realized pts/£m0.18
VerdictC · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/224.json.