Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidEVE
Tarkowski
3.74xPts this gameweek
ceiling 9.90captain EV 7.49owned 8.9%
season 6 ptsrealized 1.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +16
BOU (A)GW2MUN (H)GW3TOT (A)GW4IPS (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.74 |
| Captain EV | 7.49 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 9.90 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.624 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.25 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.92 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.458 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.80 |
| Start probability | 0.97 |
| Price | £6.0m |
| Ownership | 8.9% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 32 / 48 |
| Season points (minutes) | 6 (3330′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 1.00 |
| Verdict | A · Mid · buy |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
Currently in our model squad.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/229.json.