Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · MidEVE

Branthwaite

DEF · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
0.55xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.72 · GW2 0.56 · GW3 0.60 · GW4 0.60 · GW5 0.64 · GW6 0.62GW1GW6
ceiling 3.59captain EV 1.10owned 1.8%
season 6 ptsrealized 1.09 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -245
BOU (A)GW2MUN (H)GW3TOT (A)GW4IPS (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.55
Captain EV1.10
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)3.59
Projected pts/£m0.100
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.11
P(DefCon threshold)0.054
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start probability0.18
Price£5.5m
Ownership1.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank377 / 132
Season points (minutes)6 (678′)
Realized pts/£m1.09
VerdictC · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/230.json.