Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetEVE

O'Brien

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
2.46xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.33 · GW2 2.65 · GW3 2.81 · GW4 2.67 · GW5 3.00 · GW6 2.81GW1GW6
ceiling 7.09captain EV 4.93owned 0.5%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +152
BOU (A)GW2MUN (H)GW3TOT (A)GW4IPS (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.46
Captain EV4.93
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.09
Projected pts/£m0.493
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.21
P(DefCon threshold)0.106
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.76
Start probability0.92
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank107 / 259
Season points (minutes)0 (3118′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/232.json.