Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetEVE

Mykolenko

DEF · £4.6m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Leg injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.55. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

1.60xPts0.35pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
11151.61.31.61.8
GW3 1 points played · GW4 11 points played · GW5 5 points played · GW7 1.6 projected · GW8 1.3 projected · GW9 1.6 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW34578910
CHEARSNEWCOV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank220thcaptain EV3.20owned3.2%season27 ptspts/£m so far5.87
attack 0.8clean sheet 0.5defence 0.2bonus 0.1= 1.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 46%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (46% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.60
Captain EV3.20
Top 15% of sims, average6.59
Projected pts/£m0.348
Expected bonus (per match)0.12
DefCon points (per match)0.22
P(DefCon threshold)0.109
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.45
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.55
Price£4.6m
Ownership3.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank220 / 101
Season points (minutes)27 (450′)
Realized pts/£m5.87
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/233.json.