Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetEVE

Nathan Patterson

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.25xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.34 · GW2 0.26 · GW3 0.28 · GW4 0.28 · GW5 0.29 · GW6 0.29GW1GW6
ceiling 1.71captain EV 0.51owned 0.0%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +147
BOU (A)GW2MUN (H)GW3TOT (A)GW4IPS (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.25
Captain EV0.51
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)1.71
Projected pts/£m0.057
Expected bonus (per match)0.44
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.026
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.06
Start probability0.08
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank432 / 579
Season points (minutes)0 (238′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/234.json.