Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidEVE

Garner

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 7
3.13xPts0.52pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
4343.12.73.23.4
GW4 4 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 3.1 projected · GW8 2.7 projected · GW9 3.2 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
CHEARSNEWCOV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank94thcaptain EV6.26owned0.2%season15 ptspts/£m so far2.50
attack 2.3clean sheet 0.2defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 3.1 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 35%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (35% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.13
Captain EV6.26
Top 15% of sims, average7.68
Projected pts/£m0.522
Expected bonus (per match)0.15
DefCon points (per match)0.51
P(DefCon threshold)0.257
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.19
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.91
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank94 / 334
Season points (minutes)15 (418′)
Realized pts/£m2.50
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/239.json.