Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidEVE

Garner

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
4.04xPts this gameweek
ceiling 9.27captain EV 8.08owned 0.1%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.17 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +400
BOU (A)GW2MUN (H)GW3TOT (A)GW4IPS (H)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)4.04
Captain EV8.08
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)9.27
Projected pts/£m0.673
Expected bonus (per match)0.35
DefCon points (per match)0.87
P(DefCon threshold)0.435
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability1.00
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank23 / 423
Season points (minutes)1 (3413′)
Realized pts/£m0.17
VerdictS · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/239.json.