Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetEVE

Alcaraz

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.51xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.58 · GW2 0.57 · GW3 0.53 · GW4 0.57 · GW5 0.68 · GW6 0.66GW1GW6
ceiling 3.35captain EV 1.01owned 0.1%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -7
BOU (A)GW2MUN (H)GW3TOT (A)GW4IPS (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.51
Captain EV1.01
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)3.35
Projected pts/£m0.101
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.024
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.16
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank396 / 389
Season points (minutes)1 (679′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/243.json.