Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetEVE

Röhl

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
1.04xPts0.21pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 3
3211.00.91.01.1
GW1 3 points played · GW2 2 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW7 1.0 projected · GW8 0.9 projected · GW9 1.0 projected · GW10 1.1 projected
GW12378910
CHEARSNEWCOV
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank255thcaptain EV2.09owned0.0%season6 ptspts/£m so far1.22
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 56%ceiling 3
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (56% of simulations), ceiling 3 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.04
Captain EV2.09
Top 15% of sims, average4.16
Projected pts/£m0.212
Expected bonus (per match)0.06
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.032
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.07
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.33
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank255 / 645
Season points (minutes)6 (249′)
Realized pts/£m1.22
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/246.json.