Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · BudgetFUL

Leno

GK · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
4.18xPts0.93pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 9
9324.23.53.53.5
GW4 9 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 4.2 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.5 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank35thcaptain EV8.35owned4.1%season20 ptspts/£m so far4.44
attack 2.1clean sheet 1.4bonus 0.7= 4.2 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 25%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (25% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.18
Captain EV8.35
Top 15% of sims, average9.70
Projected pts/£m0.929
Expected bonus (per match)0.66
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.42
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£4.5m
Ownership4.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank35 / 83
Season points (minutes)20 (540′)
Realized pts/£m4.44
Model tierS · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/250.json.