Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetFUL

Robinson

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.99xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.94 · GW2 1.90 · GW3 2.48 · GW4 1.69 · GW5 2.22 · GW6 2.27GW1GW6
ceiling 9.08captain EV 3.99owned 1.7%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -8
SUN (A)GW2CRY (H)GW3LIV (A)GW4MUN (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.99
Captain EV3.99
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)9.08
Projected pts/£m0.443
Expected bonus (per match)0.43
DefCon points (per match)0.22
P(DefCon threshold)0.109
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.46
Start probability0.45
Price£4.5m
Ownership1.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank150 / 142
Season points (minutes)1 (1487′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/254.json.