Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetFUL

Castagne

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
2.06xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.67 · GW2 1.60 · GW3 2.16 · GW4 1.45 · GW5 2.04 · GW6 1.83GW1GW6
ceiling 8.48captain EV 4.13owned 0.4%
season 6 ptsrealized 1.33 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +123
SUN (A)GW2CRY (H)GW3LIV (A)GW4MUN (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.06
Captain EV4.13
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.48
Projected pts/£m0.459
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.17
P(DefCon threshold)0.085
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.55
Start probability0.53
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank146 / 269
Season points (minutes)6 (1838′)
Realized pts/£m1.33
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/258.json.