Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS
Diop
1.72xPts0.43pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
1421.73.13.23.2
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank203rdcaptain EV3.43owned11.6%season14 ptspts/£m so far3.50
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.3defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 1.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 30%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
on the consensus bench, we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 1.72 |
| Captain EV | 3.43 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 6.25 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.430 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.12 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.47 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.233 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.26 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.99 |
| Price | £4.0m |
| Ownership | 11.6% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 203 / 33 |
| Season points (minutes) | 14 (540′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 3.50 |
| Model tier | B · Budget |
| Our position | on the consensus bench, we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
Research notes on file: Diop. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
Currently in the bench of the consensus squad.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/259.json.