Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidLEE

Harry Wilson

MID · £6.5m · Gameweek 2
3.10xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.96 · GW2 3.22 · GW3 3.10 · GW4 3.66 · GW5 3.27 · GW6 2.51GW1GW6
ceiling 9.69captain EV 6.21owned 6.0%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.46 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -1
BRE (H)GW2BHA (A)GW3NEW (H)GW4CRY (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.10
Captain EV6.21
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)9.69
Projected pts/£m0.477
Expected bonus (per match)0.30
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.012
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.84
Price£6.5m
Ownership6.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank61 / 60
Season points (minutes)3 (2674′)
Realized pts/£m0.46
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/260.json.