Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetFUL

Iwobi

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.63xPts0.67pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
3543.63.43.33.3
GW4 3 points played · GW5 5 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 3.6 projected · GW8 3.4 projected · GW9 3.3 projected · GW10 3.3 projected
GW45678910
HULCOVAVLNEW
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank61stcaptain EV7.26owned0.7%season18 ptspts/£m so far3.33
attack 2.8clean sheet 0.4defence 0.1bonus 0.3= 3.6 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 34%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (34% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.63
Captain EV7.26
Top 15% of sims, average9.27
Projected pts/£m0.672
Expected bonus (per match)0.34
DefCon points (per match)0.09
P(DefCon threshold)0.045
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.36
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank61 / 215
Season points (minutes)18 (494′)
Realized pts/£m3.33
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/261.json.